Ciego de Ávila vs Cienfuegos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ciego de Ávila
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
CIU
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
CAM
0 - 1
CIE
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 0
VIL
43%
27%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
FCL
2 - 0
CIE
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
LAS
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cienfuegos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
CAM
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 0
CIE
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
CIE
2 - 0
FCL
48%
26%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
LAS
1 - 2
CIE
54%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2011 |
CIE
1 - 1
GUA
43%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |