Série D Brazil Round 10

Cianorte vs São Bernardo FC analysis

Cianorte São Bernardo FC
56 ELO 65
-26.6% Tilt -20%
2819º General ELO ranking 644º
77º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
24.4%
Cianorte
31.9%
Draw
43.7%
São Bernardo FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.4%
Win probability
Cianorte
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
17.2%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
16.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
43.7%
Win probability
São Bernardo FC
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO progression

Cianorte
São Bernardo FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cianorte
Cianorte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2022
PAR
Paraná
1 - 2
Cianorte
CIA
46%
28%
26%
55 56 1 0
05 Jun. 2022
CIA
Cianorte
1 - 1
Portuguesa RJ
POR
35%
31%
35%
55 57 2 0
28 May. 2022
POR
Portuguesa RJ
0 - 0
Cianorte
CIA
51%
26%
22%
55 57 2 0
22 May. 2022
CIA
Cianorte
0 - 1
Paraná
PAR
42%
30%
28%
56 54 2 -1
14 May. 2022
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 0
Cianorte
CIA
54%
28%
19%
56 63 7 0

Matches

São Bernardo FC
São Bernardo FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 Jun. 2022
SAO
São Bernardo FC
4 - 0
Pérolas Negras
PER
59%
25%
16%
64 48 16 0
04 Jun. 2022
NOV
Nova Iguaçu
0 - 0
São Bernardo FC
SAO
28%
31%
41%
64 56 8 0
28 May. 2022
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 0
Nova Iguaçu
NOV
50%
28%
22%
64 57 7 0
22 May. 2022
PER
Pérolas Negras
0 - 0
São Bernardo FC
SAO
22%
28%
50%
64 46 18 0
14 May. 2022
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 0
Cianorte
CIA
54%
28%
19%
63 56 7 +1