Universitario vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
23.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
0 - 0
CHO
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
LDA
1 - 0
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 3
SFF
46%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 0
CAZ
22%
26%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
CHO
27%
27%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SMI
1 - 0
IND
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 4
SMI
41%
28%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SMI
3 - 1
TAU
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SMI
2 - 3
AMA
47%
27%
26%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SFF
2 - 0
SMI
52%
27%
22%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |