Universitario vs Atl. Chiriquí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Universitario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CHE
1 - 1
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
ARA
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
TAU
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2014 |
CHO
1 - 1
LDA
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
IND
0 - 1
CHO
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Chiriquí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 0
IND
43%
29%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
AFC
1 - 0
CHI
46%
25%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
SMI
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
4 - 1
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SFF
1 - 1
CHI
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |