Chorley vs Chesterfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
53.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 2
EAS
25%
24%
51%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
GUL
2 - 0
CHO
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHO
0 - 1
BAR
17%
23%
60%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
EBB
1 - 0
CHO
59%
22%
20%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
YEO
1 - 1
CHO
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 4
TOW
28%
25%
46%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
4 - 0
EBB
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 2
WRE
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
FYL
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |