Chorley vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
34.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chorley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CHO
9 - 0
GLO
33%
26%
41%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
ALF
0 - 1
CHO
30%
25%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
AFC
3 - 0
CHO
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 1
BRA
27%
27%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 1
CHO
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
CHE
3 - 2
ALF
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
KID
3 - 1
CHE
36%
25%
40%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
1 - 1
GAT
51%
23%
25%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
CHE
0 - 3
CUR
74%
16%
9%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
FAR
2 - 2
CHE
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |