Cholet vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
SÈT
0 - 0
CHO
37%
27%
35%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
1 - 2
VIL
45%
27%
29%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
LMU
2 - 0
CHO
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 2
USB
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
4 - 2
ANN
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
LYO
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2021 |
STA
0 - 0
CON
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2021 |
CON
1 - 3
ORL
37%
28%
35%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2020 |
LUS
1 - 1
CON
46%
27%
28%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
ANN
2 - 4
CON
35%
27%
37%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |