Cholet vs Concarneau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 0
CHO
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
CHO
1 - 2
STL
37%
28%
34%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
DRA
0 - 1
CHO
31%
29%
40%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
CHO
0 - 0
BOU
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
USB
1 - 0
CHO
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Concarneau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
CON
4 - 3
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
LYO
1 - 1
CON
45%
28%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
PAU
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
STL
2 - 0
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CON
1 - 1
LMU
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |