Cholet vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
USB
1 - 2
CHO
51%
26%
24%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
RED
3 - 0
CHO
55%
25%
19%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CHO
0 - 0
QUE
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
ANN
2 - 0
CHO
41%
26%
33%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
FBB
0 - 0
CHO
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
ANN
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 0
LYO
64%
21%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
STA
1 - 1
BAS
25%
27%
48%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
STL
0 - 1
BAS
28%
26%
45%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
AVR
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |