Choco vs Sanxenxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
21.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
CHO
55%
23%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CHO
0 - 3
POR
44%
25%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
CHO
46%
24%
31%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CHO
3 - 1
CAM
40%
25%
35%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
POR
2 - 0
CHO
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sanxenxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 0
TOM
54%
23%
24%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
EST
2 - 2
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
PON
48%
24%
28%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
SAN
59%
22%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 2
ARE
46%
24%
30%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |