Choco vs Umia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
CAM
1 - 0
CHO
60%
21%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 0
BOU
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MOA
4 - 0
CHO
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
VER
51%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CHO
1 - 1
UDA
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Umia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
UMI
0 - 0
UDA
27%
24%
48%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
PON
0 - 2
UMI
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
UMI
0 - 3
ATL
64%
20%
17%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
BAR
1 - 0
UMI
72%
17%
12%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
UMI
1 - 1
PON
22%
23%
55%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |