Choco vs Ribadumia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
BOU
2 - 1
CHO
32%
26%
42%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 2
UDA
68%
19%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
PON
1 - 0
CHO
12%
21%
67%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CHO
1 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
UDO
1 - 1
CHO
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Ribadumia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
RIB
2 - 4
OUR
24%
25%
51%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
RIB
0 - 3
ARE
29%
25%
46%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
RIB
0 - 2
CAD
5%
15%
81%
|
29 | 80 | 51 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARO
0 - 0
RIB
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2020 |
BOU
0 - 2
RIB
42%
25%
33%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |