Choco vs Marín CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
GON
1 - 0
CHO
39%
25%
36%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CHO
3 - 1
PON
71%
19%
11%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
RIB
1 - 0
CHO
37%
25%
39%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 1
ARO
55%
23%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MON
0 - 1
CHO
21%
24%
55%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marín CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 1
CUL
11%
20%
69%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
CDL
1 - 1
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
CDV
27%
24%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
USD
1 - 1
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
UDA
26%
24%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |