Choco vs Deportivo Fabril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
RIB
1 - 1
CHO
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
3 - 2
BER
57%
23%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
PON
1 - 2
CHO
68%
20%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
CHO
0 - 0
CER
52%
24%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
ALO
0 - 0
CHO
38%
26%
36%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Fabril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 1
ARO
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 0
DEP
23%
24%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
6 - 0
BER
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LAR
0 - 3
DEP
14%
22%
64%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
DEP
4 - 2
BOI
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | +1 |