Choco vs Barco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
27%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
SOM
2 - 1
CHO
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CHO
3 - 1
CUL
70%
18%
13%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
COM
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 0
CHO
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CHO
3 - 2
BOI
22%
24%
54%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Barco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
ARE
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 1
BAR
18%
23%
60%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
NEG
0 - 1
BAR
20%
23%
57%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
OUR
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NOI
0 - 1
BAR
18%
22%
60%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | +1 |