Choco vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Choco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
ZAR
2 - 0
CHO
62%
21%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CHO
1 - 2
ZAR
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
CDB
2 - 2
CHO
65%
20%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CHO
2 - 1
CDB
24%
23%
53%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +3 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SIL
1 - 0
CHO
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
RCV
48%
25%
27%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
NOI
1 - 2
ARO
18%
24%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ARO
2 - 2
ALO
48%
25%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
RIB
3 - 2
ARO
35%
26%
40%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
5 - 2
BOU
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |