Chiva vs Fbm Moncada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2011 |
PAT
2 - 1
CHI
30%
24%
45%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LLI
2 - 2
CHI
36%
25%
40%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ATV
73%
17%
10%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
MAS
1 - 0
CHI
15%
21%
63%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
2 - 0
FOY
72%
18%
11%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fbm Moncada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 2
LLI
45%
23%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ATV
1 - 0
MON
26%
23%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MON
2 - 0
MAS
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
FOY
0 - 2
MON
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MON
2 - 2
UTI
32%
25%
43%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |