Chispa SD vs Barro CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
18.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+92%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chispa SD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FAX
4 - 2
CHI
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 1
POR
59%
20%
21%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
EIR
3 - 5
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CHI
3 - 3
SMI
62%
20%
19%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DOR
0 - 1
CHI
37%
23%
39%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Barro CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
DEI
3 - 1
BAR
70%
17%
13%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 1
XIL
35%
24%
42%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
BAR
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
4 - 1
POR
59%
21%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
FAX
1 - 0
BAR
76%
15%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |