Chippa United vs Richards Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
30.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
12º
12º
33
6º
16º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
99.5% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
68% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 49 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 38 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 36 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 35 |
10º
|
4.5% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
14º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 30 |
15º
|
36.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 30 |
16º
|
24% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
8.5% | 14.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
84% | 85.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
4.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chippa United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
PIR
2 - 1
CHI
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUF
36%
30%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
RKF
0 - 0
CHI
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 1
CHI
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PIR
2 - 0
CHI
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Richards Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
RIB
1 - 0
TSG
38%
29%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2024 |
RIB
4 - 0
BAR
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PRE
1 - 1
RIB
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BAR
0 - 0
RIB
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
RIB
1 - 0
PRE
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |