AFC Asian Cup qualifying Qualifying Round Round 4

China vs Syria analysis

China Syria
85 ELO 78
2.3% Tilt -9.9%
774º General ELO ranking 1634º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.9%
China
19.6%
Draw
17.5%
Syria

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
China
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.5%
Win probability
Syria
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
China
-19%
-4%
Syria

ELO progression

China
Syria
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

China
China
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Dec. 2009
CHN
China
2 - 2
Jordan
JOR
64%
22%
14%
85 78 7 0
22 Nov. 2009
CHN
China
1 - 0
Lebanon
LBN
85%
11%
4%
85 62 23 0
14 Nov. 2009
LBN
Lebanon
0 - 2
China
CHN
10%
20%
71%
85 62 23 0
08 Nov. 2009
KWT
Kuwait
2 - 2
China
CHN
42%
27%
31%
85 80 5 0
30 Sep. 2009
CHN
China
4 - 1
Botswana
BOT
78%
15%
7%
85 65 20 0

Matches

Syria
Syria
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Jan. 2010
ZIM
Zimbabwe
0 - 6
Syria
SYR
27%
25%
48%
77 71 6 0
30 Dec. 2009
MAS
Malaysia
4 - 1
Syria
SYR
17%
21%
62%
78 59 19 -1
18 Nov. 2009
SYR
Syria
0 - 0
Vietnam
VIE
72%
17%
11%
78 67 11 0
14 Nov. 2009
VIE
Vietnam
0 - 1
Syria
SYR
23%
22%
55%
78 68 10 0
08 Nov. 2009
THA
Thailand
1 - 1
Syria
SYR
52%
22%
26%
79 79 0 -1