China vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
0 - 0
MKD
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
CHN
2 - 0
MKD
60%
23%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
IRQ
3 - 1
CHN
28%
25%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
CHN
0 - 0
SAU
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
CHN
1 - 0
IDN
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
HRV
2 - 1
MLI
81%
14%
5%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
MLI
1 - 2
GIN
50%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
SEN
1 - 1
MLI
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
MLI
1 - 2
ZWE
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOZ
1 - 2
MLI
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |