China vs Hong Kong analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.9%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
12.4%
3-0
16.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
20.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.5%
2.6%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
China
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
0 - 0
CHN
73%
17%
11%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2022 |
CHN
0 - 3
KOR
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
CHN
1 - 1
AUS
26%
25%
49%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
CHN
1 - 1
OMN
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
SAU
3 - 2
CHN
45%
26%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Hong Kong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
KOR
3 - 0
HKG
89%
9%
2%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
JPN
6 - 0
HKG
92%
7%
1%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
IND
4 - 0
HKG
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
KHM
0 - 3
HKG
15%
21%
63%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
HKG
2 - 1
AFG
52%
24%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |