Chimaltenango vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chimaltenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
1 - 0
QUI
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 1
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
VEN
4 - 2
CHI
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
2 - 2
REU
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
LEO
0 - 0
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
NUE
5 - 0
SOL
59%
21%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2019 |
REU
1 - 3
NUE
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
NUE
3 - 0
SPD
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 0
NUE
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
NUE
1 - 4
QUI
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -2 |