Nuevo Chimalhuacán vs Ciervos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nuevo Chimalhuacán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 0
CAL
37%
28%
36%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DOR
5 - 2
CHI
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CHI
0 - 2
DON
42%
26%
32%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
PAZ
3 - 2
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
5 - 1
CHI
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ciervos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CIE
1 - 0
DOR
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
DON
4 - 1
CIE
47%
25%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CIE
0 - 3
PAZ
37%
27%
37%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
MZA
8 - 1
CIE
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
OUN
2 - 0
CIE
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |