Chievo vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
2 - 1
INT
15%
24%
61%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
SAM
0 - 0
CHI
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 0
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
FIO
1 - 0
CHI
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 0
CHI
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SIE
1 - 1
NOV
48%
27%
25%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2010 |
NOV
3 - 1
REG
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
PIA
1 - 2
NOV
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2010 |
NOV
1 - 1
EMP
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ASC
1 - 1
NOV
42%
27%
32%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |