Chievo vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
54.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
ASL
1 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1995 |
REG
1 - 2
CHI
35%
29%
37%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1995 |
COM
0 - 0
CHI
35%
30%
35%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
CHI
1 - 4
VIC
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
ANC
0 - 1
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1995 |
LAZ
4 - 1
PIA
81%
13%
6%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
LAZ
1 - 0
BRE
82%
12%
6%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1995 |
USF
0 - 1
LAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1995 |
LAZ
1 - 0
SAM
62%
21%
18%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
LAZ
4 - 1
INT
61%
21%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |