Chieti vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
11.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 0
GIU
67%
21%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FAN
0 - 2
CHI
32%
28%
41%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 1
PAG
38%
29%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
APR
2 - 2
CHI
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
VIG
33%
27%
39%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
FON
1 - 0
RAA
58%
23%
19%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 1
ARZ
38%
25%
38%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
EBO
1 - 1
RAA
50%
25%
25%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 4
VIG
32%
27%
41%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -2 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
1 - 0
RAA
33%
30%
37%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |