Chieri vs Lavagnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+131%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 3
CHI
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
2 - 4
SAN
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NOV
0 - 1
CHI
19%
25%
56%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CHI
0 - 0
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
BOG
0 - 0
CHI
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lavagnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LAV
0 - 0
FOL
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
AST
0 - 1
LAV
30%
26%
45%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LAV
2 - 0
TRE
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SES
0 - 1
LAV
40%
26%
34%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LAV
1 - 2
DER
64%
22%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |