Chieri vs Chiavari Caperana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chieri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
CHI
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 2
APD
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GER
3 - 1
CHI
71%
18%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 1
DER
60%
23%
18%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
AST
0 - 1
CHI
31%
27%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Chiavari Caperana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
2 - 3
LAV
50%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 1
CHI
29%
24%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
CHI
3 - 0
SES
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RAB
2 - 0
CHI
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CHI
0 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |