Chicago Fire vs New York City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CFS
3 - 4
NYC
35%
25%
40%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2020 |
MIN
2 - 2
CFS
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
NSC
1 - 1
CFS
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
PHU
2 - 1
CFS
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
CFS
2 - 2
RBN
41%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
New York City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
TIG
4 - 0
NYC
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
ORL
1 - 1
NYC
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
CFS
3 - 4
NYC
35%
25%
40%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
NYC
5 - 2
RBN
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
TOR
0 - 1
NYC
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |