Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
CFS
2 - 1
DCU
55%
24%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
KCW
1 - 0
CFS
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
MON
2 - 2
CFS
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
CFS
2 - 0
AFC
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
CFS
4 - 0
HOD
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
DAL
1 - 0
KCW
49%
24%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2020 |
KCW
2 - 1
NSC
78%
15%
7%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
KCW
1 - 0
CFS
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
HOD
1 - 2
KCW
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2020 |
KCW
1 - 2
ORL
50%
24%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |