Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
DAL
3 - 1
CFS
41%
25%
34%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
CFS
0 - 0
DCU
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
CFS
3 - 0
RBN
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
SJE
1 - 0
CFS
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
CFS
0 - 0
DCU
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
DCU
0 - 0
KCW
52%
24%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2002 |
MOR
6 - 1
KCW
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
DAL
0 - 1
KCW
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
KCW
2 - 1
SJE
38%
26%
36%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2002 |
KCW
1 - 3
RBN
47%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |