Chicago Fire vs Sporting Kansas City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chicago Fire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2000 |
RBN
4 - 1
CFS
29%
25%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2000 |
CFS
4 - 3
DAL
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
CFS
0 - 1
NER
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
CFS
4 - 1
SJE
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
MIA
0 - 3
CFS
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Kansas City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2000 |
TAM
1 - 2
KCW
57%
22%
21%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2000 |
KCW
2 - 0
SJE
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2000 |
KCW
2 - 0
DCU
32%
24%
44%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
KCW
2 - 0
RBN
67%
20%
14%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
GAL
0 - 0
KCW
67%
19%
13%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |