Chiasso vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chiasso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SCB
0 - 2
CHI
23%
25%
51%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
KRI
1 - 1
CHI
36%
27%
38%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
4 - 0
DEL
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
LUG
1 - 1
CHI
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
WOH
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
2 - 1
WIN
48%
24%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2012 |
FCA
4 - 1
LOC
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
STA
2 - 2
FCA
38%
25%
37%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
WOH
1 - 3
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 0
LUG
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |