Chesterfield vs Rochdale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
CHE
3 - 5
HUR
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
LEY
1 - 2
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 2
LEE
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 1
FLE
57%
24%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BUR
0 - 2
CHE
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 2
PNE
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
ROC
0 - 1
POS
35%
25%
40%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
0 - 2
ROC
24%
25%
52%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
ROC
1 - 3
MID
32%
25%
43%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NEW
2 - 1
ROC
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |