Chesterfield vs Leyton Orient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 3
BRI
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2007 |
TRA
2 - 0
CHE
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 2
NTT
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
CUM
0 - 0
CHE
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
CHE
3 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Leyton Orient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
SWA
0 - 0
LEY
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
LEY
3 - 1
TRA
42%
28%
31%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 5
LEY
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2007 |
LEY
1 - 1
CUM
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2007 |
LEY
1 - 4
BHA
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |