Chesterfield vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
LEI
2 - 2
CHE
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1948 |
GRI
3 - 3
CHE
63%
20%
18%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
CHE
0 - 1
BRE
52%
23%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
CHE
0 - 3
GRI
45%
23%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
TOT
4 - 0
CHE
60%
21%
19%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1948 |
LEE
3 - 1
LIN
70%
18%
13%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1948 |
TOT
2 - 2
LEE
56%
20%
24%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1948 |
SHW
3 - 1
LEE
49%
22%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1948 |
LEE
0 - 0
TOT
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1948 |
LEE
4 - 1
COV
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |