Chesterfield vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
FLE
46%
23%
31%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ROT
1 - 0
CHE
50%
25%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
CHE
2 - 0
AFC
67%
19%
14%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ROC
1 - 1
CHE
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CHE
0 - 1
SOU
48%
24%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 1
DAG
66%
21%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 0
GIL
29%
27%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 1
GIL
40%
27%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
GIL
0 - 1
WYC
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 0
NOR
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |