Chesterfield vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LUT
0 - 0
CHE
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
0 - 0
DAR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2009 |
CHE
1 - 1
LIN
57%
23%
21%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
MAC
1 - 1
CHE
30%
27%
43%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 1
CHE
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
GIL
2 - 1
DAG
44%
26%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
WYC
1 - 0
GIL
47%
27%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
GIL
0 - 2
BAR
54%
25%
21%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
BRE
1 - 1
GIL
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
GRI
3 - 0
GIL
28%
26%
47%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |