Chesterfield vs Ebbsfleet United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
CHE
3 - 2
WRE
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 0
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 1
FYL
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
EAS
0 - 2
CHE
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
CHE
1 - 0
SUT
38%
25%
37%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ebbsfleet United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
EBB
1 - 0
CHO
59%
22%
20%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
EBB
0 - 2
ROY
38%
24%
38%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
EBB
1 - 1
SUT
47%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2020 |
EBB
2 - 1
WOK
44%
24%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
GUL
0 - 0
EBB
61%
21%
19%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |