Chesterfield vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesterfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
QPR
3 - 0
CHE
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
PLY
33%
27%
40%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
WYC
3 - 3
CHE
62%
22%
16%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
CHE
1 - 1
BRI
23%
25%
52%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
CHE
0 - 0
BUR
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOT
56%
23%
21%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2003 |
BPO
0 - 2
BAR
54%
23%
23%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 0
BHA
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
BOU
2 - 2
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2003 |
BAR
1 - 2
BPO
60%
21%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |