Chester vs Leeds United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
58.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
DAG
6 - 0
CHE
63%
22%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 0
MAC
34%
28%
38%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2008 |
CHE
0 - 0
STO
16%
24%
60%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
STF
0 - 0
CHE
54%
25%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WYC
1 - 0
CHE
62%
24%
15%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Leeds United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
SCU
1 - 2
LEE
47%
27%
27%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
DON
1 - 0
LEE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -2 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 2
LEE
46%
26%
29%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 2
CUM
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
LEE
2 - 1
GIL
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |