Chester vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 0
CHE
43%
24%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 1
ALT
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
AFC
1 - 3
CHE
36%
25%
38%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 1
GUI
58%
22%
21%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2019 |
CUR
1 - 3
CHE
24%
24%
52%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
LEA
30%
24%
46%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 2
CHA
54%
23%
23%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LEA
0 - 3
FAR
22%
23%
56%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
ALT
5 - 0
LEA
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LEA
2 - 0
BLY
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |