Chester vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 0
WOR
64%
21%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
OXF
0 - 1
CHE
24%
25%
51%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 0
MAR
68%
20%
12%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
CHO
0 - 2
CHE
26%
25%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
MIC
1 - 3
CHE
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HAL
0 - 1
COL
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
SOL
51%
25%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
COL
4 - 2
GLO
49%
24%
26%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
NUN
1 - 1
COL
66%
21%
13%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
COL
2 - 2
TOW
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |