Chester vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 0
CHO
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
RFC
0 - 3
CHE
18%
24%
58%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
CHE
4 - 0
KEN
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
0 - 3
CHE
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ASH
0 - 2
CHE
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
WOR
4 - 1
CHA
30%
25%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
KEN
32%
24%
44%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
NOR
3 - 1
CHA
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
FRI
63%
20%
16%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
MIC
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |