Cheshunt vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
CHE
35%
23%
41%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 3
NOR
74%
15%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
BOW
2 - 3
CHE
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HEN
5 - 2
CHE
37%
24%
39%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WAL
3 - 3
CHE
18%
21%
61%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
TIL
4 - 1
SOH
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 0
TIL
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
THA
0 - 1
TIL
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
FEL
2 - 1
TIL
28%
21%
51%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
2 - 1
TIL
28%
23%
50%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |