Cheshunt vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
49.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cheshunt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SOH
1 - 1
CHE
24%
22%
54%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
CHE
4 - 2
RED
78%
15%
7%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 0
CHE
12%
18%
70%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
3 - 0
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 1
BUR
40%
25%
35%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 2
THU
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
THU
3 - 1
HEY
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
THU
3 - 1
ROM
84%
11%
5%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DER
2 - 2
THU
30%
25%
45%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
THU
2 - 1
AVE
71%
16%
12%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |