Chesham United vs Barwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Chesham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 3
HEM
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
WEY
3 - 0
CHE
24%
25%
52%
|
48 | 31 | 17 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
SAL
33%
26%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
LEA
3 - 2
CHE
51%
24%
26%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Barwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 1
STA
69%
18%
13%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GOO
1 - 4
BAR
28%
23%
49%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 1
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 0
BEL
71%
17%
12%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 2
CAR
55%
22%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |