FNL . Jor. 20

Chernomorets Novorossisk vs Volga Ulyanovsk analysis

Chernomorets Novorossisk Volga Ulyanovsk
56 ELO 48
2.8% Tilt -5.4%
3254º General ELO ranking 3176º
41º Country ELO ranking 40º
ELO win probability
58.8%
Chernomorets Novorossisk
23%
Draw
18.2%
Volga Ulyanovsk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
18.2%
Win probability
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Chernomorets Novorossisk
+1%
+1%
Volga Ulyanovsk

ELO progression

Chernomorets Novorossisk
Volga Ulyanovsk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Chernomorets Novorossisk
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2008
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
0 - 1
FC Kuban
KUB
30%
26%
44%
56 69 13 0
24 Jun. 2008
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
0 - 1
FC Kuban
KUB
31%
27%
42%
57 69 12 -1
17 Jun. 2008
SKA
SKA-Khabarovsk
2 - 2
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
48%
27%
26%
57 57 0 0
14 Jun. 2008
ZIR
Zvezda Irkutsk
1 - 2
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
43%
27%
30%
56 54 2 +1
07 Jun. 2008
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
4 - 0
Dinamo Bryansk
DIN
54%
24%
21%
55 51 4 +1

Matches

Volga Ulyanovsk
Volga Ulyanovsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2008
MET
Metallurg Lipetsk
3 - 0
Volga Ulyanovsk
VOL
49%
25%
27%
50 46 4 0
27 Jun. 2008
VOL
Volga Ulyanovsk
1 - 3
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
32%
29%
39%
51 56 5 -1
24 Jun. 2008
VOL
Volga Ulyanovsk
2 - 1
Zvezda Irkutsk
ZIR
32%
27%
41%
50 54 4 +1
17 Jun. 2008
DIN
Dinamo Bryansk
1 - 2
Volga Ulyanovsk
VOL
41%
28%
32%
49 49 0 +1
14 Jun. 2008
FCR
FK Rostov
5 - 0
Volga Ulyanovsk
VOL
75%
17%
8%
50 67 17 -1
X