Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2006 |
CVA
1 - 1
LSO
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
BEL
1 - 0
CVA
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
CVA
2 - 1
ROD
62%
23%
15%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
MAR
0 - 1
CVA
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
CVA
1 - 2
VIH
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2006 |
LPL
1 - 0
BEL
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2006 |
ROD
0 - 1
LPL
29%
26%
46%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LPL
1 - 1
MAR
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
VIH
3 - 2
LPL
36%
25%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
LPL
6 - 0
CHE
90%
8%
2%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |